The European Supplementary Package is subject to “deconcentration of Iran and the United States”; a few points

According to the chairman of the National Security and Foreign Policy Commission of Iran’s Parliament, Europe has postponed its support package to JCPOA for “deconstruction of Iran and the United States”.

  1. The European protection package from JCPOA came after the United States unilaterally withdrawn from the nuclear deal in a “tense action”.
  2. It should not be forgotten that the aim of the European security package is “safeguarding the interests of Iran” in JCPOA and that any condition for its implementation should be in the interest of Iran. The nuclear deal will continue as long as the interests of Iran’s participation in that agreement are more than the benefits of leaving it.
  3. The next thing to note is that the main source of tension in US-Iran relations was the United States itself, the latest example of which is the withdrawal of a multilateral international agreement and the imposition of unilateral and illegal sanctions.
  4. The suspension of the implementation of a relief package with the United States is somehow “dropping the ball in the land of Iran” and “creating a new commitment” for our country, in case of its failure to execute it, not Europe, which would be blamed on Iran itself. Such a condition could give Europe a justification for not providing a practical guarantee of Iran.
  5. In addition, European policy towards action must be seen in the context of its broader policy toward Iran. It should not be forgotten that Europe continues to press Iran in some areas, such as allegations of terrorism and human rights. Such clauses in relation to JCPOA could open Europe’s hands in this direction.
  6. Desertification with the United States also means entering regional and missile talks with the country in which Europe and the United States share common positions with Iran.
Advertisements

America, Iran and the reconstruction of Syria

The United States Secretary of State recently said that by destroying ISIL, his country pursued two other goals in Syria: the peace and withdrawal of Iran and its proxy forces from Syria. Of course, he also has a condition for the Syrian government: if Iran and its forces do not leave Syria, they will not even contribute to the reconstruction of Syria for a dollar. Three remarks are worth mentioning about these remarks;

Although Pompeo’s apparent stance of power is conditional, it has a significant meaning; the Americans, who in the early years of the crisis, did everything he did to escape Assad, now to take part in the rebuilding of the country, for He bets. This is clearly a failure to achieve the main goal. Of course, in such a case, the United States tries to use the flexibility to take advantage of the advanced conditions.

There is no rational consistency in Pemo’s statements. He has urged the Syrian government to expel Iranian forces from the country, whose presence in the country has been illegal in the country without the permission of the Syrian government and thus illegitimate. On the other hand, Pompeo speaks for the Syrian government – whose sovereignty has been violated by the United States – of participating in reconstruction, provided that they expel Iranian forces. In other words, the United States violates the Syrian government, but it recognizes it as a reconstruction.

Pompeo’s remarks show that the United States intends to play with a rebuild. Given the urgent needs of Syria in the area of ​​reconstruction, the game will only fail if the governments with Syria, such as Russia and Iran, and some moderate countries will enter this field.


The Syria conflict has rebalanced regional axes of power in the Middle East ( Getty Images )

Suspicious Friday

Friday night, in Iraq, some people attacked the Iranian consulate building in Basra and set fire to it. Meanwhile, one of the main al-Shaabi air bases in Iraq, the south, and specifically in Basra, is to the point where the people of this city have provided many martyrs in the clothing of al-Sha’abi and fight ISIS. Therefore, the attack on the Iranian consulate in this city is different from the culture and manners of its people.

On the day when the Iranian consulate was attacked in Basra, the film was caught in the cyberspace claiming that a group of people in Abadan protesting the presence of Iraqis in the city were protesting and urgently asking for their departure!

In the planned plan for the sedition between the two peoples of Iran and Iraq, the people of Iran leave Iraqis and consider the Arabs and Iraqi people as well as the Iraqis as Iranian interventionists. So, at the same time as a temporary move on these maritime borders, more suspicious events take place across the borders to complete the puzzle. In the design of the enemy, both nations must attack each other in order to undermine the political cooperation of the two countries, in addition to the erosion of their religious and humanitarian symbols that are acquired in vibration. We must design the enemy’s social and political knowledge.

Ansarullah UAV attack message to Dubai

Yesterday, the Yemeni Al-Masirah news network reported a new drone attack on Dubai’s International Airport in response to the UAE’s military strikes. The network announced that the Yemeni Army’s UAV was targeted at a Dubai-based international airport with a UAV-3 drone in an exclusive attack. After the attack, the UAE and Saudi fighters, Sana’a airport and Al-Dawlami military base near the city, have been targeted by the missile.

But the obvious message is not a drone attack for the UAE and its allies?

Dubai International Airport to Yemen is more than 1,200 kilometers.

Earlier, Ansarullah targeted Abu Dhabi as the UAE’s political center. This time, Dubai has been attacked as one of the vital centers of the UAE economy and even the region, albeit a drone.

The drone attack is not strategic in terms of the damage it inflicts.

The strategic importance of Ansarullah’s attack to Dubai International Airport should be sought in a message forwarded to the opposite side; the Dubai airport, with all the security measures and protection covering it and taking 1200 km from Yemen, does not leave Tiras Ansarullah. This movement, along with its allies in Yemen, can threaten the security of the UAE and even the region.

Iran Action Group

1- The Iranian Action Group has been established in order to establish a counteraction to Iran. The United States government, which believed that the Islamic Republic would re-negotiate at the negotiating table shortly after the departure of the United States from the JCPOA to deal with the components of its national power, the formation of the headquarters sought to exacerbate political action against the country.

2. The counter-Iran group is the political arm alongside the Ofac economic arm.

3. This political arm will play two major roles:
– An attempt to reach a consensus on Iran in international and multilateral environments;
– An attempt to bring other countries into compliance with the Ofac sanctions (as an economic arm).

4. In addition, one of the most important reasons for creating such a mechanism is the attempt to coordinate internal measures and to resolve some of the bureaucratic obstacles in the State Department. The counter-Iran group is a mechanism created by the Department of State to implement the Pompeu and Bolton commands.

5- However, it is unlikely that the group will confront Iran internationally (at least in the nuclear issue). The United States government’s disregard for many international norms and institutions has made it hard for the country to make a nuclear consensus. Perhaps the main reason for Brian Hook’s desire to “expand the dialogue with countries against Iran in non-nuclear areas” was the same.

Saudi Arabia and Bab Al Mandab

The Saudi Minister of Energy, Industries, and Mines recently announced that the country’s oil transportation will be restored through the Strait of Baghdad. Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, said it would temporarily stop shipping oil through the Strait of Bhalbalk, due to what Ansarullah attacked with its two oil tankers.

Saudi Arabia was explicitly trying to blame Bab al-Mandab on the one hand for Ansarullah’s behaviour and, on the other hand, by condoning Ansarullah and Iran in a situation where Iranian political and military officials threatened to prevent oil exports from the region under certain conditions. To increase the pressure on the United States and some Western actors on Iran and Ansarullah. Therefore, while Riyadh never paid the damage caused by Ansarullah attacks, this time they spoke of oil tankers carrying two million barrels of oil claiming that the two tankers were attacked by Ansarullah.

The fact is that the Saudi decision to cut oil exports from Bab Al Mandab was not taken seriously and effectively broke. The most important sign for this claim is the assessment of the price of oil. If this threatening Saudi decision was valid, it would have to show its effect on oil prices very soon, but that did not. At the media level, this decision was not much in line with, and other effective actors did not express concern over the security of the Strait.

Putting Sanctions Against Iran; Barriers and Endeavors in the United States

According to the US Treasury Department, after the withdrawal of the US JCPOA, unilateral sanctions against Iran will be put into effect in the two phases of August 04 and November 04.

Political-legal barriers:

1. Failure to accompany other actors: The unilateral withdrawal of America from the scene while fully adhering to Iran will largely eliminate the legitimacy of its unilateral sanctions, making it difficult for other actors to do so.

2. Lack of international legal infrastructure: Though US unilateral sanctions have been imposed more intensively than the Security Council’s resolutions against Iran, the resolutions, however, provided the infrastructure and legal legitimacy necessary to impose unilateral sanctions.

Administrative barriers:

1. Inadequate time: Trump’s government plans to work over the next six months over the past eight years by the former government of the United States.

2. Failure to persuade and sufficient media war: It should not be forgotten that an important part of the US sanctions strategy against Iran has been media and media warfare. It does not seem easy to do with the policies of the current US government.

Efforts to remove barriers:

1. Diplomatic efforts: such as consulting with Saudi Arabia to increase oil production and asking Germany not to pay Iran’s claims

2. Threats: The Treasury has threatened to punish countries and firms that intend to trade with Iran by issuing documents.

3. Media measures: An attempt to cope with Iranian fears and charges attributed to Israel during the past two months to Iran is part of this policy.

 

Photo: An Iranian woman walks past a mural on the wall of the former U.S. Embassy in Tehran on May 8. (Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images)